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Chinese year of the snake – not good for the market

Today is the start of the Chinese new year. The following chart plots the average performance of the stock market[1] for each animal year since 1950. For example, Ox years started in 1961, 1973, 1985,...

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Market returns around Christmas and New Year

This analysis looks at the historic behaviour of the FTSE 100 Index since 1984 on the days around Christmas and New Year. The days studied were: Days 1-3: the three trading days leading up to...

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Market returns around Christmas and New Year (update)

This updates the previous analysis of the historical behaviour of the FTSE 100 Index since 1984 for the nine days around Christmas and New Year. The days studied were: Days 1-3: the three trading days...

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A very average start to 2017

The following chart plots the daily returns of the FTSE 100 Index for the nine days around Christmas and New Year. The blue bars plot the average daily returns of these days for the period 2000-2016....

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Trading around Christmas and New Year

Does the equity market display any particular pattern in the days around Christmas and New Year? Mean returns The following chart plots the average daily returns of the FTSE 100 Index for nine days...

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Santa Rally 2017

The Santa Rally describes the tendency of the market to rise in the last two weeks of the year. In 2017 the FTSE 100 Index had a return of +2.6% in the last two weeks of the year. So the Santa Rally...

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